CommentaryThe Statecraft Institute
Calibrating Power. Interpreting Strategy
In-depth research and strategic analysis on geopolitics, statecraft, and international relations.
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ResearchThe Challenges of National Security Intelligence: An Encapsulation
Kautilya-Machiavelli Perspectives on StatecraftNational Security Intelligence assists governments in gathering, processing and analysing intelligence on threats and opportunities, but each step of the intelligence cycle — planning, collection, processing, analysis and dissemination — carries its own risk of failure, from data overload to the politicisation of findings. Drawing on episodes such as Operation CHAOS, Iran-Contra, 9/11 and the Iraq WMD assessment, this Strategic Insight argues that robust oversight is essential to guard against the abuse of intelligence powers even as it acknowledges the inherent limits of what intelligence can achieve.
Commentary
CommentaryThe Battle for Perception: China’s Psychological Influence in Myanmar and its Implications for India
China’s growing influence in Myanmar is not only confined to infrastructure, trade and diplomacy. It increasingly involves the information and cognitive dimensions of strategic competition, through which Beijing seeks to shape perceptions, narratives and decision-making environments. Chinese strategic thinking incorporates psychological warfare, public opinion warfare and legal warfare under the broader frameworks of the “Three Warfares”, while more recently we can witness Chinese military thinking has expanded beyond the horizons of cognitive domain operations.
